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Why you should use the Hodrick-Prescott filter – at least to generate credit gaps

18 September 2018

Authors: Mathias Drehmann and James Yetman
Excessive credit growth is part and parcel of any financial boom and bust. But what is “excessive”? There is no clear cut answer to this question, so researchers use proxies. Typically, credit is divided, or “normalised”, by some variable such as GDP so that it can be compared across time and between countries. The gap between the level of normalised credit and some “trend” level is then used as a proxy for excessive credit growth.
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The Financial Conduct Authority bans former Deutsche Bank trader, Christian Bittar

17 September 2018

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has banned Christian Bittar from performing any function in relation to any regulated financial activity. Mr Bittar formerly worked at Deutsche Bank where he traded interest rate derivative products referenced to benchmarks including EURIBOR. The FCA has found that Mr Bittar lacks integrity and therefore fitness and propriety to carry out such a role. Mr Bittar made requests to EURIBOR submitters to make high or low EURIBOR submissions, both internally to Deutsche Bank submitters and externally to traders at other EURIBOR panel banks. He did so to benefit the profitability of the trading positions for which he was responsible and, on occasion, the profitability of the trading positions of other traders.
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Mario Draghi: ECB press conference – introductory statement

14 September 2018

Introductory statement by Mr Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank, and Mr Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank. We will  report on the outcome of today’s meeting of the Governing Council, which was also attended by the Commission Vice-President, Mr Dombrovskis. Based on our regular economic and monetary analyses, we decided to keep the key ECB interest rates unchanged. We continue to expect them to remain at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019, and in any case for as long as necessary to ensure the continued sustained convergence of inflation to levels that are below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.
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Koos Timmermans to step down as CFO and member of the Executive Board of ING Group

12 September 2018

ING announced that Koos Timmermans will step down from his position as chief financial officer and member of the Executive Board of ING Group and will leave the company. His resignation follows the announcement on 4 September 2018 of the settlement regarding shortcomings in the execution of customer due diligence policies to prevent financial economic crime at ING Netherlands. During the investigated period (2010-2016) Koos Timmermans was a member of the Management Board Banking and for several years end-responsible for ING Netherlands. In light of these circumstances and in consultation with the Supervisory Board, Koos Timmermans will step down.
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Why Brexit will have a big impact on the Captive insurance market

12 September 2018

With just under a year to go until the UK leaves the EU a lot of attention has been paid to how the insurance industry is responding to Brexit and the disruption it will cause. There has been much less information about Captives – yet the implications for them are far-reaching. Simon Burtwell, Jenny Coletta, Ben Reid, and Martin Powell of EY provide an overview of the key challenges.
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"Lets dance"

11 September 2018

At his keynote speech at the Global Capital Sustainable & Responsible Markets Forum, Frank Elderson, first Chairman of The Network ON Greening the Financial system (NGFS). shed his light on the ways central banks are contributing to the greening of the financial system. He gives an insight into their work and progress. And he describes how therir activities fit within the broader context of international developments in this area.
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ING reaches settlement agreement with Dutch authorities on regulatory issues in the ING Netherlands business

10 September 2018

ING announced that it has entered into a settlement agreement with the Dutch Public Prosecution Service (DPPS) relating to previously disclosed investigations regarding various requirements for client on-boarding and the prevention of money laundering and corrupt practices. Under the terms of the agreement ING has agreed to pay a fine of €675 million and €100 million for disgorgement.
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Operation Tidworth – FCA’s second largest ever criminal prosecution

07 September 2018

In a case brought by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), five individuals have been sentenced to a total of 17.5 years’ imprisonment for their roles in a share fraud carried out through a series of boiler room companies which led to the loss of more than £2.8m of investors’ money. The sentencing of five defendants was concluded today at Southwark Crown Court. The sixth defendant, Michael Nascimento (DOB 28th June 1977), will be sentenced on the 14th September 2018. He was the controlling mind, instigator and the main beneficiary of the fraud.
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The euro area: current status and challenges ahead

06 September 2018

In his speech, Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank (ECB), reviews the economic developments in the euro area, explains the recent monetary policy decisions of the ECB and reflect on the necessary reforms of Economic and Monetary Union, or EMU: Economic growth in the euro area remains solid and broad-based, as confirmed by the latest data. Preliminary figures show that real GDP grew by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter during the second quarter of 2018. In the first half of 2018, growth weakened from its very high rates of last year, partly reflecting lower exports, compounded by temporary supply-side constraints at national and global level.
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IMF Reaches Staff Level Agreement on the Fourth Review of Tunisia’s Extended Fund Facility

05 September 2018

 An International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff team, led by Björn Rother, visited Tunisia to discuss the authorities’ policy plans under the Fourth Review of Tunisia’s economic reform program supported by a four-year IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement. At the end of the visit, Mr. Rother issued the following statement: “The Tunisian authorities and the IMF team reached a staff-level agreement on the policies needed to complete the fourth review of Tunisia’s EFF. The Tunisian authorities emphasized their intention to continue to act decisively to contain the budget deficit, which would allow the IMF’s Executive Board to consider the Fourth Review at the end of September. Completion of the review would make available SDR 177 million (about US$257 million), bringing total disbursements under the EFF to about US$1.5 billion.
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