Authors: Mathias Drehmann and James Yetman
Excessive credit growth is part and parcel of any financial boom and bust. But what is “excessive”? There is no clear cut answer to this question, so researchers use proxies. Typically, credit is divided, or “normalised”, by some variable such as GDP so that it can be compared across time and between countries. The gap between the level of normalised credit and some “trend” level is then used as a proxy for excessive credit growth.
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