The paper ‘An explanation of negative swap spreads: demand for duration from underfunded pension plans’ of the BIS, examines the reasons for the persistent negative 30-year swap spread. Because of the credit risk implicit in Libor, swap rates should exceed the (theoretical) risk-free rate and rise when bank credit risk increases. Further, Treasuries (against which swap spreads are computed) are “safe haven” assets whose yields fall during a crisis, so that they trade at a liquidity premium. On this basis, the 30-year swap spread should have increased after the Lehman default. Yet, instead, it declined into negative territory. This we seek to explain.
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This book examines a crucial question about small states and their governments’ influence in the European Union (EU) decision-making processes. – Are EU small member …
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